Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29
Saturday, September 29
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Bryant-Denny Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Louisiana (7-7) | 14 | 18 | +36.0 | 0% | ✔ | 0 | +74.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Alabama (14-1) | 56 | 54 | -36.0 | 100% | 74 | -74.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| UB Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Army (11-2) | 42 | 29 | -4.0 | 64% | ✔ | 38 | -22.5 | 96% | ✔ | |
| Buffalo (10-4) | 13 | 25 | +4.0 | 36% | 16 | +22.5 | 4% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Syracuse (10-3) | 23 | 20 | +24.0 | 4% | ✔ | 11 | +43.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Clemson (15-0) | 27 | 44 | -24.0 | 96% | 54 | -43.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Cincinnati (11-2) | 49 | 51 | -40.0 | 100% | ✔ | 55 | -52.0 | 100% | ✔ | |
| Connecticut (1-11) | 7 | 11 | +40.0 | 0% | 3 | +52.0 | 0% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Bulldog Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Toledo (7-6) | 27 | 23 | +15.0 | 11% | ✔ | 14 | +31.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Fresno State (12-2) | 49 | 38 | -15.0 | 89% | 46 | -31.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Sanford Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Tennessee (5-7) | 12 | 12 | +27.0 | 2% | ✔ | 3 | +42.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Georgia (11-3) | 38 | 39 | -27.0 | 98% | 45 | -42.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Bill Snyder Family Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Texas (10-4) | 19 | 25 | -5.0 | 67% | ✔ | 37 | -29.0 | 98% | ✔ | |
| Kansas State (5-7) | 14 | 20 | +5.0 | 33% | 8 | +29.0 | 2% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Kroger Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| South Carolina (7-6) | 10 | 18 | +9.0 | 22% | ✔ | 17 | +10.5 | 18% | ✔ | |
| Kentucky (10-3) | 24 | 27 | -9.0 | 78% | 27 | -10.5 | 82% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Tiger Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Ole Miss (5-7) | 16 | 24 | +18.0 | 8% | ✔ | 9 | +47.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| LSU (10-3) | 45 | 42 | -18.0 | 92% | 57 | -47.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Davis Wade Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Florida (10-3) | 13 | 18 | +6.0 | 30% | ✘ | 26 | -10.0 | 81% | ✔ | |
| Mississippi State (8-5) | 6 | 24 | -6.0 | 70% | 16 | +10.0 | 19% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Ryan Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Michigan (10-3) | 20 | 29 | -11.0 | 82% | ✔ | 25 | -3.5 | 63% | ✔ | |
| Northwestern (9-5) | 17 | 18 | +11.0 | 18% | 21 | +3.5 | 37% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Notre Dame Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Stanford (9-4) | 17 | 16 | +12.0 | 16% | ✔ | 11 | +22.5 | 4% | ✔ | |
| Notre Dame (12-1) | 38 | 28 | -12.0 | 84% | 33 | -22.5 | 96% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Baylor (7-6) | 33 | 31 | +22.0 | 5% | ✔ | 18 | +48.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Oklahoma (12-2) | 66 | 53 | -22.0 | 95% | 66 | -48.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Beaver Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Ohio State (13-1) | 27 | 33 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 46 | -23.5 | 96% | ✔ | |
| Penn State (9-4) | 26 | 35 | -2.0 | 58% | 22 | +23.5 | 4% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| AT&T Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Arkansas (2-10) | 17 | 17 | +25.0 | 3% | ✔ | 0 | +57.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Texas A&M (9-4) | 24 | 42 | -25.0 | 97% | 58 | -57.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Jones AT&T Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| West Virginia (8-4) | 42 | 39 | -3.0 | 61% | ✔ | 52 | -29.5 | 98% | ✔ | |
| Texas Tech (5-7) | 34 | 36 | +3.0 | 39% | 22 | +29.5 | 2% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Spectrum Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Pittsburgh (7-7) | 14 | 18 | +23.0 | 4% | ✔ | 11 | +35.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| UCF (12-1) | 45 | 41 | -23.0 | 96% | 47 | -35.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Husky Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| BYU (7-6) | 7 | 13 | +9.0 | 22% | ✔ | 0 | +36.0 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Washington (10-4) | 35 | 22 | -9.0 | 78% | 36 | -36.0 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Martin Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Utah (9-5) | 24 | 23 | +8.0 | 24% | ✔ | 21 | +11.5 | 16% | ✔ | |
| Washington State (11-2) | 28 | 31 | -8.0 | 76% | 33 | -11.5 | 84% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| War Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Boise State (10-3) | 34 | 26 | -11.0 | 82% | ✔ | 34 | -27.5 | 98% | ✔ | |
| Wyoming (6-6) | 14 | 15 | +11.0 | 18% | 6 | +27.5 | 2% | |||
Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 90%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 90%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.